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Bettesworth Construction
construction economy

September 2026 U.S. Construction Brief: What $99 Billion in Starts Really Means

August 2026 U.S. nonresidential starts reached $99 billion, but starts measure projects breaking ground—not work performed that month. Here’s how contractors should read the near-record figure and its uneven opportunity signals.

By Bettesworth Construction Team 4 min read
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U.S. nonresidential construction starts reached $99.0 billion in August 2026, but that is not $99 billion of work performed during the month. ConstructConnect’s figure estimates the value of projects where ground was broken; the Census Bureau’s construction-spending measure estimates work done on projects during August. Those measures track different stages of the pipeline, and starts can lead spending by nine months to as much as two years.

What the $99 billion figure measures

ConstructConnect reported $99.0 billion in U.S. nonresidential starts for August 2026, a 15.9% increase from July and the second-highest monthly reading in the series’ recorded history. The total combines nonresidential building and civil construction. It is a near-record, not a new all-time record. The trailing 12-month average was $77.7 billion. ConstructConnect’s September brief was published October 9, 2026, and identifies Chief Economist Michael Guckes; no verbatim statement from him is available in the brief.

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Starts are an indicator of projects entering the construction pipeline, not a measure of completed work or the amount contractors billed in August. ConstructConnect describes its starts data as the estimated dollar value and square footage of projects on which ground is broken. A large project’s full estimated value can therefore appear in starts around groundbreaking even though the work itself will be carried out over time. ConstructConnect explains the starts series.

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Why starts and monthly construction spending diverge

The Census Bureau’s put-in-place measure estimates the value of construction work done during the month on new or improved structures. That includes progress across projects at different stages, rather than just projects newly breaking ground. The two measures are related, but they do not count the same activity at the same point in time. Census describes its construction-spending estimates.

ConstructConnect says starts statistics lead put-in-place statistics by nine months to as much as two years. The August starts figure thus signals projects beginning now whose spending may be recorded across later months. It cannot be compared as though it were August’s performed-work total, nor should the difference be treated as a contradiction between the sources.

The Census Bureau released its August 2026 put-in-place report on October 1. Census publishes seasonally adjusted annual rates as well as estimates that are not seasonally adjusted; comparisons need to identify which basis they use. Its schedule listed September 2026 data for November 2, making August the latest monthly observation available at the time of the September brief. Census release information and schedule.

Why a few giant projects can dominate the headline

National starts totals can move sharply when a small number of very large projects reach groundbreaking. ConstructConnect classifies a project with more than $1 billion in total construction value as a megaproject. Its September brief says the 20 largest projects averaged about 47% of all nonresidential spending from June through August. That is a three-month concentration statistic attributed to ConstructConnect; it is not a share of all construction starts or a forecast of future awards. The brief does not provide the underlying project list or calculation method.

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For contractors and suppliers, the practical implication is that a strong national number need not mean a broad-based surge in projects. A handful of major developments can substantially affect the total, while the work available to a particular business depends on project type, location, size, schedule, and its place in the project’s supply chain.

How to read the growth signals—and compare sources

ConstructConnect’s nonresidential starts totaled $659.5 billion year to date through August, up 20.5% from the comparable 2025 period. Dodge Construction Network reported a different measure: its total construction starts fell 24.8% in August to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $1.34 trillion, while its year-to-date total starts remained 15.2% higher. Dodge’s August release quoted Director of Economic Research Sarah Martin saying, “After a pop in activity last month, construction starts largely normalized throughout August.”

Those monthly headlines are not opposites. ConstructConnect’s $99.0 billion is a monthly nonresidential total; Dodge’s $1.34 trillion is total construction starts presented at a seasonally adjusted annual rate. Their year-to-date growth rates also describe separate series, with different scopes and publishers. Use each number with its definition rather than treating them as interchangeable measures.

Dodge said data center, semiconductor, and energy construction were driving growth, while several other sectors faced subdued activity, deeper labor shortages, and accelerating material prices. Martin’s broader characterization was: “Abstracting from the month-to-month volatility, the story remains consistent. Data center, semiconductor and energy construction are driving growth, while several other sectors are facing subdued activity alongside deeper labor shortages, and accelerating material prices.” That pattern reinforces the unevenness behind aggregate growth: the sectors and markets with major project activity may not match a contractor’s local workload or capacity.

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What contractors and suppliers can do with the signal

Treat starts as a leading market indicator, then narrow the view before making operational decisions. A national total can help frame the direction of the pipeline; it cannot establish that a specific firm will win work or that a local market is accelerating.

  1. Check project type. Identify whether new activity aligns with the building or civil work your business performs, and whether it is concentrated in sectors such as data centers, semiconductors, or energy.
  2. Check project scale and concentration. Determine whether a rise reflects many smaller projects or a few megaprojects. A national record-adjacent month can be less relevant to a firm that cannot serve those large developments.
  3. Check geography. Review regional starts and local project information rather than assuming national growth is distributed evenly.
  4. Check timing. Groundbreaking is an early pipeline signal. Consider when bid packages, procurement, subcontracting, and actual field work are likely to occur before changing staffing or supplier commitments.
  5. Use a second cut of the data. ConstructConnect’s snapshot archive includes category trends, regional starts tables, and top-project listings. These views can help translate the headline into leads to investigate, but they do not guarantee awards or work. Explore ConstructConnect’s starts snapshots.

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