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What are the latest European construction growth rates? In EUROCONSTRUCT’s 5 June 2026 forecast, real construction output across its 19-country EC-19 area is expected to grow 2.0% in 2026, 2.2% in 2027 and 1.9% in 2028, after 0.2% growth in 2025. The forecast describes a moderate recovery, not a uniform boom: growth varies sharply by country and segment, and other European forecasts use different geographies and measures.
What are the latest European construction growth rates?
The latest directly reviewed EUROCONSTRUCT release, dated 5 June 2026, forecasts real construction output growth in the EC-19 area as follows:
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Fix the driver behind crashes, sound loss and screen glitchesFind Drivers →Clear out junk files and repair common Windows errorsFree Scan →Scan for outdated or missing drivers - takes under a minuteDriver Scan →| Year | EC-19 output growth | Status |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.2% | Reported growth |
| 2026 | 2.0% | Forecast |
| 2027 | 2.2% | Forecast |
| 2028 | 1.9% | Forecast |
The 2026 estimate was lowered from 2.4% in EUROCONSTRUCT’s previous, November 2025 outlook. The revision reflects a changed economic environment, including energy prices, inflation and interest-rate trends, weaker consumer and business confidence, and updated country economic forecasts. As with any forecast, these figures are estimates rather than observed results. EUROCONSTRUCT
How fast is the European construction market growing?
There is no single rate that applies to every definition of “European construction.” Different respected sources publish different growth figures because they cover different areas and measure different things.
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| Publisher and vintage | Geography | Measure | 2026 figure |
|---|---|---|---|
| EUROCONSTRUCT, June 2026 | EC-19 | Real construction output | 2.0% growth |
| FIEC, 2026 | EU | Construction investment | 2.7% growth |
| ING Research, 19 January 2026 | EU | Construction production/output | 1.5% growth |
These are not competing measurements of an identical market. EC-19 is EUROCONSTRUCT’s 19-country coverage area, which includes the UK, Norway and Switzerland as well as EU countries; it is not another name for the EU. FIEC’s headline is EU construction investment, while ING’s is EU production/output. Forecast dates and methodologies also differ. Quote each rate with its publisher, publication date, geography and measure rather than blending the figures into one “Europe” growth rate. FIEC · ING Research
Which European countries have the strongest construction outlook?
EUROCONSTRUCT’s June 2026 country table shows a wide spread in forecast real construction-output changes for 2026. Poland and Ireland lead the listed markets, while Hungary and Slovakia are forecast to contract.
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| Country or aggregate | 2026 forecast growth |
|---|---|
| Poland | 6.4% |
| Ireland | 5.3% |
| Portugal | 4.4% |
| Sweden | 4.0% |
| Spain | 3.2% |
| Netherlands | 2.2% |
| EC-19 | 2.0% |
| Italy | 1.6% |
| France | 1.1% |
| Germany | 1.0% |
| Austria | 0.0% |
| Hungary | -1.5% |
| Slovakia | -2.9% |
These are one-year forecasts, not rankings for the entire outlook period. EUROCONSTRUCT separately identifies Ireland, Poland, the UK and Portugal as the strongest-growth markets over 2025–2028, and Slovakia, Italy and Belgium as the weakest over that span. A country can therefore rank differently depending on the year or period being compared. The table’s percentages are forecast real output changes, not investment growth. EUROCONSTRUCT
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Which construction segments are driving growth?
Civil engineering is the strongest near-term segment in both EUROCONSTRUCT’s and FIEC’s accounts. EUROCONSTRUCT expects all main construction sectors to grow during 2026–2028, with new building construction growing faster than renovation over that period.
FIEC’s 2026 EU outlook forecasts civil-engineering investment/activity growth of 4.1%, following reported growth of 3.8% in 2025 and 4.6% in 2024. It forecasts building investment growth of 2.2%, including 5.1% growth in new housebuilding from a very low base, 1.3% in renovation and 1.4% in non-residential construction. Non-residential construction had declined 1.8% in 2025. Keep these figures identified as FIEC’s EU segment and investment/activity estimates; they are not interchangeable with EUROCONSTRUCT’s EC-19 output series. FIEC
EUROCONSTRUCT points to transport and energy infrastructure, security and contingency planning, climate adaptation, and projects supported by EU programmes as supports for civil engineering. These drivers help explain the segment’s relative strength, but they do not guarantee that every project will proceed on schedule or that every national market will expand.
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What could slow the recovery?
The recovery forecast remains conditional. EUROCONSTRUCT’s downward revision highlights the sensitivity of construction to energy prices, inflation, interest rates and confidence. FIEC also identifies financing costs and restricted credit, high construction costs, cautious private investment, limits on public-investment capacity, the pace of EU-fund implementation, permitting delays, labour availability and company financial resilience as factors shaping the outlook. FIEC
Those constraints matter differently across sectors. Higher financing costs can weigh on private building demand, while public infrastructure depends on funding capacity, approvals and delivery. Labour availability and firms’ financial resilience can affect whether planned work translates into completed activity. Treat these as risks and conditions—not proof that a particular forecast will be realized.
How should you compare European construction forecasts?
Before comparing two percentages, check that they refer to the same geography, measure, forecast vintage and period. A headline rate without those labels can create a misleading impression of acceleration or slowdown.
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- Geography: Is the figure for EC-19, the EU27, the euro area or a named country? EC-19 includes non-EU countries.
- Measure: Is it real construction output or production, investment, value added, or another indicator?
- Vintage and period: When was the forecast published, and which year or range does it cover? Forecasts are revised as conditions change.
- Segment: Does it cover total construction, new housing, all building, renovation, non-residential work or civil engineering?
- Status and source: Is the number an observed result, estimate or forecast? Name the publisher alongside it.
For example, ING Research’s January 2026 EU output forecast put 2026 growth at 1.5%, with Germany at 2.5%, Spain at 2.5%, France at 0.5% and Poland at 3.0%. EUROCONSTRUCT’s newer June 2026 EC-19 output forecast put the aggregate at 2.0%, Germany at 1.0%, Spain at 3.2%, France at 1.1% and Poland at 6.4%. The changes reflect different forecast vintages as well as different coverage and potentially methodology; the figures should not be read as a like-for-like revision. ING Research · EUROCONSTRUCT
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What does the outlook mean for construction businesses?
The aggregate forecast suggests a gradual return to growth, but it is not a reliable substitute for a country- and segment-specific view. A firm assessing demand should distinguish infrastructure-led prospects from housing, renovation and non-residential work, then check the relevant national outlook, financing conditions, public-project pipeline, permitting environment and labour supply.
FIEC’s 2026 Statistical Report gives useful context on the industry’s scale: more than 12 million workers, construction equivalent to 9.8% of EU27 GDP and 31.1% of industrial employment, and 95% of enterprises with fewer than 20 workers. These are FIEC-reported structural figures, not growth rates, and their definitions should be taken from the report. FIEC Vice-President Bruno Lucas summarized the cautious tone in its foreword: “The European construction sector enters 2026 in a better position, but a sustained and broad-based recovery has yet to be secured.” FIEC Statistical Report
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The figures cited here are forecasts available in the reviewed releases, not full-period actual outcomes. EUROCONSTRUCT’s latest directly reviewed release is dated 5 June 2026; a later forecast edition may supersede it.
Frequently Asked Questions
When will the European construction recovery become broad-based?
The available outlook does not establish a date. EUROCONSTRUCT forecasts growth across its main sectors in 2026–2028, but FIEC’s foreword cautions that a sustained, broad-based recovery has not yet been secured.
Is European construction growth measured in real or nominal terms?
EUROCONSTRUCT’s cited EC-19 rates are real output changes, which account for price effects. FIEC’s cited headline concerns construction investment, so it should not be treated as the same real-output series.
Why can a construction forecast change within a few months?
Forecasts respond to changed assumptions about economic activity, energy prices, inflation, interest rates and confidence, as well as revised country-level projections. EUROCONSTRUCT’s 2026 estimate fell from 2.4% in its November 2025 outlook to 2.0% in its June 2026 release.
