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Bettesworth Construction
Canada lumber production

Canada Lumber Production Fell 6.7% Year Over Year in July 2026

Canadian sawmills produced 3,546.4 thousand cubic metres of lumber in July 2026, 6.7% less than a year earlier and 8.6% below June. The figures are unadjusted estimates subject to revision.

By Bettesworth Construction Team 2 min read
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Canadian sawmills produced 3,546.4 thousand cubic metres of lumber in July 2026, down 6.7% from July 2025. That is the exact figure behind the rounded “7%” headline. Production also fell 8.6% from June 2026, a separate month-over-month comparison. Statistics Canada’s release reports these changes but does not establish why production declined.

How much did Canadian lumber production fall?

Statistics Canada estimated that Canadian sawmills produced 3,546.4 thousand cubic metres of lumber in July 2026. The volume was 6.7% below July 2025 and 8.6% below June 2026. The headline’s 7% refers to the year-over-year change, not the larger month-over-month decline. Statistics Canada’s July 2026 release was published October 5, 2026.

Why did production decline?

The July release gives the size of the decline but does not identify its cause. The cited official statistics do not establish a specific explanation, so attributing the change to demand, trade, mill shutdowns, or another factor would go beyond the available evidence.

Production and shipments are different measures

Sawmills shipped 3,728.9 thousand cubic metres of lumber in July 2026. Shipments were down 7.8% from July 2025 and 10.3% from June 2026. These are shipment figures, not production figures; they should not be used as interchangeable measures of what mills made during the month.

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Statistics Canada describes its monthly Sawmills survey as measuring “the quantities of lumber produced and shipped by Canadian manufacturers.” Its survey profile provides further information about the program: Statistics Canada’s Sawmills survey description.

How to interpret the July estimate

  • It is not seasonally adjusted. The month-to-month change is a comparison of the reported monthly estimates, not a seasonally adjusted measure of underlying trend.
  • It can be revised. Statistics Canada says the figures are subject to revision; the July release notes revisions for January 2025 through June 2026. The published values should therefore be understood as estimates that may change.

Trade and industry context

Global Affairs Canada reported 845,715,110 board feet of Canada–US softwood lumber exports for July 2026. That is a separate, permit-based export measure, reported in board feet and subject to correction and final reconciliation. It is not a production statistic and should not be directly compared with Statistics Canada’s all-lumber production estimate without accounting for differences in measure, unit, scope, and status. Global Affairs Canada’s July 2026 export report is dated and revised August 15, 2026.

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For broader context, Statistics Canada says forestry represented 0.9% of Canada’s real GDP, or $21.6 billion, in 2024, and that softwood accounted for about 98% of Canada’s wood production. Those figures describe the sector and its composition; they do not explain the July 2026 monthly decline. Statistics Canada’s lumber-industry infographic was updated in 2026.

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