Expert Market Research estimates China’s infrastructure construction market at USD 1,285 billion in 2025 and projects USD 1,852 billion by 2035, implying a 4.7% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over 2026–2035. Its listing identifies transportation as the largest infrastructure type, with 38.5% of 2025 market revenue. These are commercial estimates, not official Chinese statistics, and the public listing does not disclose enough methodology to independently verify the market boundary or forecast calculation.
China infrastructure construction market size and forecast
The figures below are from Expert Market Research’s report listing, dated 9 April 2026 and hosted by MarketResearch.com. The values and growth rate should be read as that publisher’s forecast, rather than as government-reported totals.
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| Measure | Estimate or forecast |
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| Market size in 2025 | USD 1,285 billion, estimated by Expert Market Research |
| Projected market size in 2035 | USD 1,852 billion, forecast by Expert Market Research |
| Forecast CAGR | 4.7% for 2026–2035, according to Expert Market Research |
| Leading infrastructure type | Transportation, reported at 38.5% of 2025 market revenue by Expert Market Research |
The listing describes new construction as a segment expected to register notable CAGR, but it does not provide enough detailed segment data to rank all categories or quantify their individual growth. It also does not make clear in the public material how the market is bounded or how the forecast is calculated. Readers should therefore avoid treating the headline value as a fully defined measure of every form of infrastructure spending in China.
What the forecast says is driving growth
Expert Market Research associates the outlook with a combination of public financing, transport expansion, energy transition needs and digital infrastructure. The listing names these drivers but does not quantify how much each contributes to the forecast.
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- Fiscal stimulus and special-purpose bonds: public financing is identified as support for infrastructure investment; the listing does not provide a contribution estimate.
- Rail and urban transit: high-speed rail and urban transit expansion form part of the transportation growth narrative. Transportation is the largest reported infrastructure type in the publisher’s 2025 breakdown.
- EV charging and grid modernization: new-energy infrastructure, including charging networks and grid upgrades, is cited as a growth area.
- Smart cities and digital infrastructure: programs in these areas are included among the named drivers of investment.
How China’s policy direction fits the outlook
China’s 14th Five-Year Plan calls for coordinated development of traditional and new infrastructure, with priorities that include digital networks, transport links, clean energy and power-grid upgrades. This policy direction helps explain why transport, energy and digital projects appear in the publisher’s growth narrative; it does not independently validate the commercial market-size estimate or its CAGR.
The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology’s plan states: “统筹推进传统基础设施和新型基础设施建设，打造系统完备、高效实用、智能绿色、安全可靠的现代化基础设施体系。” A faithful working translation is: “Coordinate the advancement of traditional and new infrastructure construction, and build a modern infrastructure system that is systematic and complete, efficient and practical, intelligent and green, safe and reliable.”
Independent reader supportYour contribution helps us test, update, and keep practical guides available for everyone.Why another China infrastructure forecast may show a similar CAGR
Technavio’s China infrastructure market page reports a 4.7% CAGR for 2025–2030 and projected market growth of USD 296.2 billion for 2026–2030. That is a separate forecast with a different market label and date range; the shared 4.7% rate does not make it confirmation of Expert Market Research’s 2026–2035 construction-market forecast.
Before comparing two forecasts, check whether they use the same market definition, base year and forecast dates; whether they report total market value or incremental growth; what currency and nominal or real treatment they disclose; how segments and denominators are defined; and whether the source is an official statistical agency or a commercial provider. For Expert Market Research’s public listing, some of those details are not stated.
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The Expert Market Research listing supplies a headline market estimate, long-range forecast, CAGR, transportation share and named growth drivers. It does not publicly provide a complete methodology or detailed segment tables sufficient to verify the full forecast independently. The National Energy Administration lists a China Electricity Supply Development Report 2026, dated 1 July 2026, but the listing alone does not establish specific investment figures or findings from that report.
Sources: Expert Market Research report listing; China 14th Five-Year Plan and 2035 outlook; Technavio China infrastructure market forecast; National Energy Administration report listing.
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